Healy the likely winner

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Healy the likely winner

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Jersey City Guide

Posted by Observer on November 05, 2004 at 13:32:03:

From PoliticsNJ.com

Healy lead holds in Jersey City mayoral race; Manzo waiting for final tally

By STEVE KORNACKI
PoliticsNJ.com

November 4 - The counting is still going on in Jersey City and will likely continue until early next week, but there are indications that the outcome the mayoral race will not change from election night.

At issue is the refusal of Assemblyman Louis M. Manzo, who finished second to City Councilman Jerramiah Healy on Tuesday, to concede the race. Manzo said after the initial tally that a combination of 8,000 or so absentee, provisional and uncounted ballots could provide him with enough support to overtake Healy.

But while there remain many outstanding votes, it doesn’t look like they will break decisively for Manzo -- if they break his way at all.

About 2,000 absentee ballots were tabulated today, with Manzo picking up 883 votes to Healy’s 544. The rest of the absentee ballots were split up among the race’s nine other combatants. That still leaves Manzo with a deficit of about 2,300 votes. Many insiders believed he would fare better in the absentee count, since his campaign was aided by former Mayor Gerald McCann, who has used absentee ballots as a key component of past election strategies.

Then there’s the provisional ballots, which number about 4,000. But a chunk of them- how many is anyone’s guess- will apparently be thrown out. That’s because under the law, provisional voters who could not produce valid ID at their polling site have 48 hours to present identification to county election officials. As of this afternoon, no one had done so.

The requirements aren’t as stringent for other provisional voters, but even among the ballots that are counted, it’s tough to see Manzo gaining an edge: more than a quarter of the provisional ballots were submitted in Ward F, a predominantly African-American area where both Manzo and Healy ran poorly; and 524 were from Ward B, where Healy trounced Manzo.

There’s also a number of uncounted ballots scattered throughout various city wards. The reason: when machines malfunctioned at some polling places, they were simply put aside and turned off, with poll workers forgetting to submit their cartridges at the end of the day.

There is a total of 18 uncounted cartridges, but some may have only a few votes on them, if poll workers decommissioned the machines early in the day. Additionally, none of the cartridges are from Ward B, the only one of the city’s six wards that Manzo won.

Election officials say that each provisional ballot will be ruled on by the election superintendent and then, if it is determined to be valid, turned over the board of elections, a process that should be complete early next week. That’s also when the cartridges will be collected and counted.

Manzo’s reluctance to concede is understandable. It’s tough enough to admit defeat in any race, and this is his fourth bid for mayor.

Winning, as one veteran Jersey City Democrats put it, would put Manzo “in the cat seat” politically. He’d lord over a patronage empire and likely would be embraced by the county’s Democratic king, Rep. Robert Menendez (D-Hoboken). But a loss would threaten to send Manzo’s political career, revived by his unexpected Assembly comeback last year, back into the wilderness, with Healy and his allies potentially denying him party support in his Assembly re-election bid next year.

Jersey City, a Democratic bastion, has been plagued by party in-fighting in recent years. The late Mayor Glenn D. Cunningham waged a bitter power struggle with Menendez. Manzo sided with Cunningham in that fight, but most of the city’s Democratic leaders did not. But most Democratic leaders, in Jersey City and throughout Hudson County, and Menendez himself, are said to be tired of the warring and ready to work with whomever the next mayor is.

So if Healy wins, he and his chief backer, County Executive Thomas A. DeGise, will probably have enough political clout to marginalize Manzo, ousting him from his Assembly seat and uniting the Democratic organization to thwart a potential fifth Manzo mayoral bid next May.

Healy is also hoping to mend a rift between his allies and those of Cunningham. Healy, as a city councilman, had sided with Menendez against Cunningham.

But on election night, Healy’s celebration was unexpectedly visited by Sandra Bolden-Cunningham, the late mayor’s widow, and Willie Flood, the mayoral candidate Bolden-Cunningham backed. Her appearance was significant, since the party was filled with the same people who had been so fiercely at-odds with Mayor Cunningham.

Some in his camp believe that as mayor Healy will bridge the divide between Menendez and the county party and the Cunningham faction in Jersey City. One approach he might take, a source said: convincing the county’s Democrats to back Bolden-Cunningham for the state Assembly next year, possibly at the expense of Manzo.

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: From PoliticsNJ.com

: Healy lead holds in Jersey City mayoral race; Manzo waiting for final tally

: By STEVE KORNACKI
: PoliticsNJ.com

: November 4 - The counting is still going on in Jersey City and will likely continue until early next week, but there are indications that the outcome the mayoral race will not change from election night.

: At issue is the refusal of Assemblyman Louis M. Manzo, who finished second to City Councilman Jerramiah Healy on Tuesday, to concede the race. Manzo said after the initial tally that a combination of 8,000 or so absentee, provisional and uncounted ballots could provide him with enough support to overtake Healy.

: But while there remain many outstanding votes, it doesn’t look like they will break decisively for Manzo -- if they break his way at all.

: About 2,000 absentee ballots were tabulated today, with Manzo picking up 883 votes to Healy’s 544. The rest of the absentee ballots were split up among the race’s nine other combatants. That still leaves Manzo with a deficit of about 2,300 votes. Many insiders believed he would fare better in the absentee count, since his campaign was aided by former Mayor Gerald McCann, who has used absentee ballots as a key component of past election strategies.

: Then there’s the provisional ballots, which number about 4,000. But a chunk of them- how many is anyone’s guess- will apparently be thrown out. That’s because under the law, provisional voters who could not produce valid ID at their polling site have 48 hours to present identification to county election officials. As of this afternoon, no one had done so.

: The requirements aren’t as stringent for other provisional voters, but even among the ballots that are counted, it’s tough to see Manzo gaining an edge: more than a quarter of the provisional ballots were submitted in Ward F, a predominantly African-American area where both Manzo and Healy ran poorly; and 524 were from Ward B, where Healy trounced Manzo.

: There’s also a number of uncounted ballots scattered throughout various city wards. The reason: when machines malfunctioned at some polling places, they were simply put aside and turned off, with poll workers forgetting to submit their cartridges at the end of the day.

: There is a total of 18 uncounted cartridges, but some may have only a few votes on them, if poll workers decommissioned the machines early in the day. Additionally, none of the cartridges are from Ward B, the only one of the city’s six wards that Manzo won.

: Election officials say that each provisional ballot will be ruled on by the election superintendent and then, if it is determined to be valid, turned over the board of elections, a process that should be complete early next week. That’s also when the cartridges will be collected and counted.

: Manzo’s reluctance to concede is understandable. It’s tough enough to admit defeat in any race, and this is his fourth bid for mayor.

: Winning, as one veteran Jersey City Democrats put it, would put Manzo “in the cat seat” politically. He’d lord over a patronage empire and likely would be embraced by the county’s Democratic king, Rep. Robert Menendez (D-Hoboken). But a loss would threaten to send Manzo’s political career, revived by his unexpected Assembly comeback last year, back into the wilderness, with Healy and his allies potentially denying him party support in his Assembly re-election bid next year.

: Jersey City, a Democratic bastion, has been plagued by party in-fighting in recent years. The late Mayor Glenn D. Cunningham waged a bitter power struggle with Menendez. Manzo sided with Cunningham in that fight, but most of the city’s Democratic leaders did not. But most Democratic leaders, in Jersey City and throughout Hudson County, and Menendez himself, are said to be tired of the warring and ready to work with whomever the next mayor is.

: So if Healy wins, he and his chief backer, County Executive Thomas A. DeGise, will probably have enough political clout to marginalize Manzo, ousting him from his Assembly seat and uniting the Democratic organization to thwart a potential fifth Manzo mayoral bid next May.

: Healy is also hoping to mend a rift between his allies and those of Cunningham. Healy, as a city councilman, had sided with Menendez against Cunningham.

: But on election night, Healy’s celebration was unexpectedly visited by Sandra Bolden-Cunningham, the late mayor’s widow, and Willie Flood, the mayoral candidate Bolden-Cunningham backed. Her appearance was significant, since the party was filled with the same people who had been so fiercely at-odds with Mayor Cunningham.

: Some in his camp believe that as mayor Healy will bridge the divide between Menendez and the county party and the Cunningham faction in Jersey City. One approach he might take, a source said: convincing the county’s Democrats to back Bolden-Cunningham for the state Assembly next year, possibly at the expense of Manzo.

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