New York Times: Menendez Wastes No Time In Declaring for the Senate

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New York Times: Menendez Wastes No Time In Declaring for the Senate

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Posted by But first Corzine has to win the governorship. on December 13, 2004 at 02:16:03:

Menendez Wastes No Time In Declaring for the Senate
But first Corzine has to win the governorship.

New York Times
New Jersey Section
December 2, 2004

ON POLITICS

Raymond Hernandez
Raymond Hernandez reports from Washington for The New York Times.

WASHINGTON
Representative Bob Menendez - who earned his stripes in the rough-and-tumble of Hudson County politics - has not wasted a moment, gathering his advisers and telling them he intends to run for the Senate if Jon S. Corzine is elected governor.

So far, Mr. Menendez has not made any specific decisions about a campaign organization as a result of the meetings - one in Washington and two others in North New Jersey - according to a senior adviser to the congressman.

But the high-level talks represent the most tangible evidence yet that Mr. Menendez is aggressively moving to lay the groundwork for a campaign to replace Mr. Corzine.

"Bob wants it to be clear that if this seat opens up, he is very interested in running for it," said the sentor adviser to Mr. Menendez, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Despite recent statements by Senator Corzine that he has not given consideration to who might replace him if he manages to sweep the party primary and the general election, many Democratic political professionals in Washington say they know better. They have put Mr. Menendez at the top of the list of candidates likely to get the nod to finish out Mr. Corzine's term in the Senate.

To be sure, there are other leading Democrats being talked about as possible replacements, and the Menendez camp - at least publicly - says it considers them "formidable candidates," as the Menendez adviser put it.

For instance, there is Representative Robert E. Andrews of Camden who nearly won the Democratic nomination for governor in 1997, though he is not widely known in populous North Jersey.

The other potential rival is Representative Frank Pallone Jr., a nine-term veteran from Monmouth County who is popular with state party leaders, although he may also not have a popular base beyond his district.

Should Mr. Corzine win the governorship in November 2005, he would be able to choose his own successor in the Senate upon his swearing in as governor in January 2006.

His successor would then have to turn around and defend the seat that same year - not only against Republican challengers but also against fellow Democrats in a possible primary fight.
For now, close advisers to Mr. Menendez say the congressman intends to run for Mr. Corzine's seat even if he wins the governor's race but looks to someone else to fill the remainder of his term.

"There's no presumption that Senator Corzine hands it to him," said the Menendez adviser, dispelling a rumor that Mr. Corzine promised the seat to Mr. Menendez in exchange for the congressman's support in the governor's race. "There's no sense of entitlement. There's no sense that the seat is owed to him."

But Stuart Rothenberg, a veteran analyst of congressional races who publishes a political newsletter, said Mr. Corzine has great incentive to cut a deal with Mr. Menendez, since the seven-term congressman is the top Democrat in Hudson County, a bastion of party support that is crucial in statewide elections.

"It's a very logical appointment for Corzine," Mr. Rothenberg said. "It helps Corzine in that it would placate an ambitious and powerful politician who clearly wants the Senate job and would feel slighted if he didn't get it. Corzine would be creating an enemy if he passed him over."

To Democrats in Washington, Mr. Menendez is an appealing replacement for Mr. Corzine because he has access to a national network of donors that he has cultivated in his role as chairman of the Democratic Caucus, the third-ranking Democratic position in the House.

In the 2003-04 election cycle, he raised more than $3.5 million, according to financial disclosure statements.

Moreover, he has elevated his profile by campaigning nationally for Democrats, particularly in Hispanic enclaves.

"Menendez has a much bigger profile and much bigger fund-raising base than any of the other people being mentioned for Corzine's seat," one Democratic operative in Washington said. "He's definitely at the top of the list."

Yet some Democrats say that if recent history is any measure, there is reason to wonder whether Mr. Me nendez will take a gamble and try to make a leap over to the Senate.

In 2002, for example, Democratic leaders in Washington and New Jersey turned to him when they were looking for a candidate to replace Senator Robert G. Torricelli, who abruptly abandoned his re-election campaign after he was admonished by the Senate ethics committee for aiding a businessman who had given him expensive gifts.

But Mr. Menendez declined the offer, apparently because he was unwilhng to leave an extremely safe seat in the House, or perhaps because he was not eager to face the kind of public scrutiny that comes with a major statewide campaign.

This time around, Mr. Menendez's advisers insist, the situation is completely different.
First, they say, Mr. Torricelli dropped out of the Senate with only a few weeks remaining before the election, which left his replacement little time to campaign and raise money - though Frank R. Lautenberg managed to pull the party out of a nosedive and defeat the Republican candidate, Douglas Forrester.

In addition, they say, Mr. Menendez was locked in a Democratic leadership race at the time and was reluctant to walk away from the commitments he had made to colleagues.

But this time. Mr. Menendez does not want to let the opportunity slip away. As a close adviser put it: "He's not taking anything for granted."

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: Menendez Wastes No Time In Declaring for the Senate
: But first Corzine has to win the governorship.

: New York Times
: New Jersey Section
: December 2, 2004

: ON POLITICS

: Raymond Hernandez
: Raymond Hernandez reports from Washington for The New York Times.

: WASHINGTON
: Representative Bob Menendez - who earned his stripes in the rough-and-tumble of Hudson County politics - has not wasted a moment, gathering his advisers and telling them he intends to run for the Senate if Jon S. Corzine is elected governor.

: So far, Mr. Menendez has not made any specific decisions about a campaign organization as a result of the meetings - one in Washington and two others in North New Jersey - according to a senior adviser to the congressman.

: But the high-level talks represent the most tangible evidence yet that Mr. Menendez is aggressively moving to lay the groundwork for a campaign to replace Mr. Corzine.

: "Bob wants it to be clear that if this seat opens up, he is very interested in running for it," said the sentor adviser to Mr. Menendez, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

: Despite recent statements by Senator Corzine that he has not given consideration to who might replace him if he manages to sweep the party primary and the general election, many Democratic political professionals in Washington say they know better. They have put Mr. Menendez at the top of the list of candidates likely to get the nod to finish out Mr. Corzine's term in the Senate.

: To be sure, there are other leading Democrats being talked about as possible replacements, and the Menendez camp - at least publicly - says it considers them "formidable candidates," as the Menendez adviser put it.

: For instance, there is Representative Robert E. Andrews of Camden who nearly won the Democratic nomination for governor in 1997, though he is not widely known in populous North Jersey.

: The other potential rival is Representative Frank Pallone Jr., a nine-term veteran from Monmouth County who is popular with state party leaders, although he may also not have a popular base beyond his district.

: Should Mr. Corzine win the governorship in November 2005, he would be able to choose his own successor in the Senate upon his swearing in as governor in January 2006.

: His successor would then have to turn around and defend the seat that same year - not only against Republican challengers but also against fellow Democrats in a possible primary fight.
: For now, close advisers to Mr. Menendez say the congressman intends to run for Mr. Corzine's seat even if he wins the governor's race but looks to someone else to fill the remainder of his term.

: "There's no presumption that Senator Corzine hands it to him," said the Menendez adviser, dispelling a rumor that Mr. Corzine promised the seat to Mr. Menendez in exchange for the congressman's support in the governor's race. "There's no sense of entitlement. There's no sense that the seat is owed to him."

: But Stuart Rothenberg, a veteran analyst of congressional races who publishes a political newsletter, said Mr. Corzine has great incentive to cut a deal with Mr. Menendez, since the seven-term congressman is the top Democrat in Hudson County, a bastion of party support that is crucial in statewide elections.

: "It's a very logical appointment for Corzine," Mr. Rothenberg said. "It helps Corzine in that it would placate an ambitious and powerful politician who clearly wants the Senate job and would feel slighted if he didn't get it. Corzine would be creating an enemy if he passed him over."

: To Democrats in Washington, Mr. Menendez is an appealing replacement for Mr. Corzine because he has access to a national network of donors that he has cultivated in his role as chairman of the Democratic Caucus, the third-ranking Democratic position in the House.

: In the 2003-04 election cycle, he raised more than $3.5 million, according to financial disclosure statements.

: Moreover, he has elevated his profile by campaigning nationally for Democrats, particularly in Hispanic enclaves.

: "Menendez has a much bigger profile and much bigger fund-raising base than any of the other people being mentioned for Corzine's seat," one Democratic operative in Washington said. "He's definitely at the top of the list."

: Yet some Democrats say that if recent history is any measure, there is reason to wonder whether Mr. Me nendez will take a gamble and try to make a leap over to the Senate.

: In 2002, for example, Democratic leaders in Washington and New Jersey turned to him when they were looking for a candidate to replace Senator Robert G. Torricelli, who abruptly abandoned his re-election campaign after he was admonished by the Senate ethics committee for aiding a businessman who had given him expensive gifts.

: But Mr. Menendez declined the offer, apparently because he was unwilhng to leave an extremely safe seat in the House, or perhaps because he was not eager to face the kind of public scrutiny that comes with a major statewide campaign.

: This time around, Mr. Menendez's advisers insist, the situation is completely different.
: First, they say, Mr. Torricelli dropped out of the Senate with only a few weeks remaining before the election, which left his replacement little time to campaign and raise money - though Frank R. Lautenberg managed to pull the party out of a nosedive and defeat the Republican candidate, Douglas Forrester.

: In addition, they say, Mr. Menendez was locked in a Democratic leadership race at the time and was reluctant to walk away from the commitments he had made to colleagues.

: But this time. Mr. Menendez does not want to let the opportunity slip away. As a close adviser put it: "He's not taking anything for granted."

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